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Red74
70615.5
220217.7
319725.8
Blue82
453118.8
514818.7
283020.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58532030407080907482

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.3
24.325.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End7.1
red by 4.9
2830
#33
20.92.1
18.320.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Second
2202
#39
17.71.3
16.417.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End2.1
blue by 1.2
4531
#15
18.82.1
16.018.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.6
End7.0
Third
706
#21
15.51.3
14.215.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End3.2
blue by 3.2
5148
#26
18.72.1
16.118.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsEarned