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Red29
622312.8
66433.4
202223.4
Blue56
558612.9
26914.9
250619.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46470204060802956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2022
#23
23.40.9
24.323.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0
red by 3.7
2506
#24
19.70.8
18.118.9
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End4.8
Second
6223
#32
12.81.3
14.012.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.2
blue by 2.2
269
#25
14.91.1
13.914.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End2.4
Third
6643
#53
3.41.5
4.83.4
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End1.4
blue by 9.5
5586
#22
12.90.8
12.112.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed