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Red45
676610.4
911310.1
150632.7
Blue81
694121.1
552211.4
709512.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564802040801004581

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#40
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto3.6
Teleop21.3
End7.8
red by 11.5
6941
#13
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Second
6766
#52
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 2.4
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Third
9113
#41
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 1.3
5522
#26
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.4