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Red92
69430.8
595124.5
35933.5
Blue62
697016.4
164031.1
461328.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948040601001201409262

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
33.50.0
33.533.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.5
End9.5
red by 2.5
1640
#11
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
Second
694
#10
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.5
End6.8
red by 2.5
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.6
End8.3
Third
5951
#45
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End4.0
red by 8.1
6970
#22
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End3.4