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Red55
759413.7
676610.4
282631.7
Blue68
911510.1
164031.1
551613.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595830405070805568

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#20
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End8.6
red by 0.7
1640
#11
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
Second
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.1
blue by 0.2
5516
#61
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Third
6766
#52
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End1.9
red by 0.3
9115
#42
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
18%Rocket odds5%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking odds35%HAB Docking odds