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Red73
76299.7
552211.4
728016.9
Blue23
639212.1
573713.2
75957.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403502060807323

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7280
#49
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End7.0
red by 3.8
5737
#72
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Second
5522
#26
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 0.7
6392
#51
12.10.0
12.112.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End3.0
Third
7629
#17
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.9
red by 1.8
7595
#71
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking odds19%HAB Docking odds