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Semifinal 1-22020 Arkansas Regional
Red198
393763.1
395947.1
172339.3
Blue110
501342.6
53735.1
605541.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17013050100150200250300198110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#17
63.10.6
62.5→63.1
Auto17.8
Teleop22.8
End22.5
red by 20.4
5013
#18
42.60.8
43.4→42.6
Auto13.9
Teleop11.2
End17.6
Second
3959
#1
47.10.6
46.6→47.2
Auto16.8
Teleop6.5
End23.8
red by 5.7
6055
#14
41.40.8
42.2→41.4
Auto15.4
Teleop7.2
End18.8
Third
1723
#30
39.30.6
38.7→39.3
Auto13.5
Teleop4.5
End21.3
red by 4.2
537
#4
35.10.8
35.9→35.1
Auto15.3
Teleop7.7
End12.1