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Quarterfinal 2-12020 Arkansas Regional
Red166
501342.6
53735.1
605541.4
Blue141
426546.1
463547.1
325040.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12415050100200250166141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#18
42.61.1
41.0→42.1
Auto13.9
Teleop11.2
End17.6
blue by 4.5
4635
#5
47.10.2
46.3→46.4
Auto14.7
Teleop18.5
End13.9
Second
6055
#14
41.41.1
39.8→40.9
Auto15.4
Teleop7.2
End18.8
blue by 4.6
4265
#22
46.10.2
44.9→45.1
Auto13.5
Teleop13.0
End19.6
Third
537
#4
35.11.1
33.5→34.6
Auto15.3
Teleop7.7
End12.1
blue by 5.8
3250
#13
40.90.2
39.8→40.0
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End19.4