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Semifinal 2-12020 Arkansas Regional
Red111
299247.6
433639.3
191233.9
Blue194
408760.8
1669.3
457640.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12818650100150200250300111194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#6
47.60.8
47.9→47.2
Auto12.7
Teleop9.9
End25.0
blue by 21.7
16
#3
69.30.3
65.8→65.5
Auto21.0
Teleop25.2
End23.1
Second
4336
#2
39.30.8
39.6→38.9
Auto14.4
Teleop8.7
End16.2
blue by 21.5
4087
#9
60.80.3
57.3→57.0
Auto19.6
Teleop19.4
End21.8
Third
1912
#38
33.90.8
34.3→33.5
Auto16.4
Teleop5.5
End12.0
blue by 6.2
4576
#19
40.20.3
36.7→36.4
Auto12.3
Teleop15.7
End12.2