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Quarterfinal 2-22020 Arkansas Regional
Red165
501342.6
53735.1
605541.4
Blue163
426546.1
463547.1
325040.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12815050100200250165163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#18
42.60.9
42.1→43.0
Auto13.9
Teleop11.2
End17.6
blue by 4.5
4635
#5
47.10.7
46.4→47.1
Auto14.7
Teleop18.5
End13.9
Second
6055
#14
41.40.9
40.9→41.8
Auto15.4
Teleop7.2
End18.8
blue by 4.6
4265
#22
46.10.9
45.1→46.1
Auto13.5
Teleop13.0
End19.6
Third
537
#4
35.10.9
34.6→35.4
Auto15.3
Teleop7.7
End12.1
blue by 5.8
3250
#13
40.90.9
40.0→40.9
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End19.4