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Red133
299247.6
433639.3
191233.9
Blue229
408760.8
1669.3
457640.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12518550100150200250300133229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.4
47.247.6
Auto12.7
Teleop9.9
End25.0
blue by 21.7
16
#3
69.32.1
65.567.6
Auto21.0
Teleop25.2
End23.1
Second
39.30.4
38.939.3
Auto14.4
Teleop8.7
End16.2
blue by 21.5
60.82.1
57.059.1
Auto19.6
Teleop19.4
End21.8
Third
1912
#38
33.90.4
33.533.9
Auto16.4
Teleop5.5
End12.0
blue by 6.2
4576
#19
40.22.1
36.438.5
Auto12.3
Teleop15.7
End12.2