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Red69
671916.3
21636.6
715821.9
Blue142
501546.7
427039.5
325627.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7713905010020025069142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#5
36.60.7
37.336.6
Auto13.6
Teleop8.2
End14.8
blue by 10.1
46.70.5
48.047.5
Auto14.1
Teleop12.9
End19.7
Second
7158
#17
21.90.7
22.721.9
Auto11.8
Teleop6.7
End3.4
blue by 17.6
39.50.5
40.840.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.5
End20.2
Third
6719
#11
16.30.6
17.016.3
Auto11.3
Teleop0.9
End4.1
blue by 11.2
3256
#25
27.50.5
28.728.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End7.5