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Red139
716940.5
462747.8
833917.1
Blue140
648537.2
639032.0
779625.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179850150200139140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.8
46.947.8
Auto14.5
Teleop6.9
End26.4
red by 10.5
6485
#12
37.20.8
36.537.3
Auto10.1
Teleop6.8
End20.4
Second
40.50.8
39.640.5
Auto13.1
Teleop11.8
End15.5
red by 8.5
6390
#10
32.00.7
30.230.9
Auto13.2
Teleop6.7
End12.2
Third
8339
#39
17.10.8
16.317.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.1
End10.1
blue by 8.1
7796
#27
25.20.7
23.424.1
Auto6.6
Teleop3.9
End14.7