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Quarterfinal 3-22020 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red194
716940.5
462747.8
833917.1
Blue82
636429.6
833125.5
716730.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119405015020025019482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#2
47.81.6
45.2→46.8
Auto14.5
Teleop6.9
End26.4
red by 16.8
7167
#23
30.90.1
31.1→30.9
Auto10.7
Teleop14.0
End6.2
Second
7169
#6
40.51.6
37.9→39.5
Auto13.1
Teleop11.8
End15.5
red by 10.8
6364
#24
29.60.1
29.7→29.6
Auto12.4
Teleop4.1
End13.1
Third
8339
#39
17.11.6
14.6→16.2
Auto5.0
Teleop2.1
End10.1
blue by 8.3
8331
#13
25.50.1
25.6→25.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End11.8