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Red94
719044.2
831234.1
778726.5
Blue153
648537.2
639032.0
779625.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1249105015020094153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.3
44.944.6
Auto10.7
Teleop9.1
End24.5
red by 7.0
6485
#12
37.20.6
34.735.3
Auto10.1
Teleop6.8
End20.4
Second
34.10.3
34.834.5
Auto8.6
Teleop4.2
End21.3
red by 2.1
6390
#10
32.00.5
28.629.1
Auto13.2
Teleop6.7
End12.2
Third
7787
#18
26.50.3
27.226.9
Auto11.6
Teleop3.9
End10.9
red by 1.3
7796
#27
25.20.5
21.822.3
Auto6.6
Teleop3.9
End14.7