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Quarterfinal 2-22020 Del Mar Regional
Red151
325548.4
294544.0
670444.6
Blue147
473836.7
388931.1
513740.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133108050150200250151147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#12
48.41.0
41.4→42.4
Auto14.0
Teleop14.8
End19.7
red by 8.1
5137
#36
40.21.3
37.6→38.9
Auto11.6
Teleop9.2
End19.4
Second
6704
#26
44.61.0
37.7→38.7
Auto14.1
Teleop2.4
End28.1
red by 8.0
4738
#10
36.71.3
34.0→35.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End22.9
Third
2945
#7
44.01.0
37.1→38.1
Auto12.8
Teleop5.1
End26.2
red by 12.9
3889
#8
31.11.3
28.5→29.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End19.2