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Red184
364755.5
29464.9
441928.6
Blue201
325548.4
294544.0
670444.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16613750100150200250184201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#1
64.91.1
63.764.8
Auto17.5
Teleop19.1
End28.3
red by 16.5
3255
#12
48.41.6
44.746.3
Auto14.0
Teleop14.8
End19.7
Second
55.51.1
54.355.4
Auto19.4
Teleop20.1
End15.9
red by 10.8
6704
#26
44.61.6
41.042.6
Auto14.1
Teleop2.4
End28.1
Third
4419
#41
28.61.1
27.428.5
Auto9.4
Teleop6.0
End13.2
blue by 15.4
44.01.6
40.341.9
Auto12.8
Teleop5.1
End26.2