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Red151
364755.5
29464.9
441928.6
Blue181
325548.4
294544.0
670444.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17014250100200250300151181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#1
64.90.1
64.864.9
Auto17.5
Teleop19.1
End28.3
red by 16.5
3255
#12
48.41.0
46.347.3
Auto14.0
Teleop14.8
End19.7
Second
55.50.1
55.455.5
Auto19.4
Teleop20.1
End15.9
red by 10.8
6704
#26
44.61.0
42.643.6
Auto14.1
Teleop2.4
End28.1
Third
4419
#41
28.60.1
28.528.6
Auto9.4
Teleop6.0
End13.2
blue by 15.4
44.01.0
41.943.0
Auto12.8
Teleop5.1
End26.2