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Red189
98775.8
420171.3
600024.3
Blue80
263725.8
20723.8
68733.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2067805010015025030035018980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
75.80.3
75.175.4
Auto22.3
Teleop31.7
End21.9
red by 42.3
687
#14
33.60.2
34.434.3
Auto16.6
Teleop10.0
End6.9
Second
71.30.3
70.670.9
Auto22.1
Teleop25.2
End23.9
red by 45.5
2637
#23
25.80.2
26.726.6
Auto9.5
Teleop7.7
End8.7
Third
6000
#21
24.30.3
23.523.8
Auto9.5
Teleop5.7
End9.1
red by 0.5
207
#12
23.80.1
24.524.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End4.6