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Red171
98775.8
420171.3
600024.3
Blue81
271042.7
351234.2
705115.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2018805015025030017181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
75.80.0
74.274.3
Auto22.3
Teleop31.7
End21.9
red by 33.1
42.70.3
42.742.4
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End16.1
Second
71.30.0
69.969.9
Auto22.1
Teleop25.2
End23.9
red by 37.1
34.20.3
34.133.8
Auto7.6
Teleop6.3
End20.3
Third
6000
#21
24.30.0
22.722.7
Auto9.5
Teleop5.7
End9.1
red by 8.5
7051
#16
15.80.3
15.715.4
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End9.0