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Red113
271042.7
351234.2
705115.8
Blue66
151536.1
555336.0
690418.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103103608012014011366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.2
42.542.7
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End16.1
red by 6.6
1515
#27
36.10.7
36.836.1
Auto10.6
Teleop14.0
End11.5
Second
34.20.2
34.034.1
Auto7.6
Teleop6.3
End20.3
blue by 1.8
36.00.7
36.736.0
Auto11.6
Teleop9.8
End14.6
Third
7051
#16
15.80.2
15.515.7
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End9.0
blue by 2.4
6904
#39
18.20.7
18.918.2
Auto7.2
Teleop0.0
End11.0