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Red184
512449.7
119747.9
257625.1
Blue50
440028.6
412331.5
59726.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125955015020025018450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#19
49.70.3
45.045.3
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End15.4
red by 18.3
31.51.1
32.331.3
Auto12.0
Teleop3.5
End15.9
Second
47.90.3
43.143.5
Auto16.4
Teleop10.1
End21.4
red by 19.3
4400
#10
28.61.1
29.528.4
Auto11.4
Teleop5.2
End11.9
Third
2576
#17
25.10.3
20.420.7
Auto9.1
Teleop4.9
End11.2
blue by 1.3
597
#15
26.51.1
27.326.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End5.7