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Red129
237044.5
672350.5
18132.8
Blue135
19031.3
259040.2
511231.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15010650200250129135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.3
50.850.5
Auto11.6
Teleop10.4
End28.6
red by 10.3
2590
#12
40.20.4
39.339.7
Auto12.3
Teleop5.0
End22.9
Second
44.50.3
44.844.5
Auto17.1
Teleop9.0
End18.4
red by 12.8
5112
#21
31.70.4
30.731.1
Auto14.1
Teleop8.2
End9.4
Third
181
#23
32.80.3
33.132.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End13.4
red by 1.5
190
#25
31.30.4
30.330.8
Auto14.9
Teleop2.6
End13.8