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Red113
19031.3
259040.2
511231.7
Blue166
174045.2
16643.3
226228.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11612450100150200250113166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#12
40.20.2
40.841.0
Auto12.3
Teleop5.0
End22.9
blue by 5.0
1740
#10
45.20.8
42.943.7
Auto13.9
Teleop9.5
End21.9
Second
5112
#21
31.70.2
32.332.4
Auto14.1
Teleop8.2
End9.4
blue by 11.6
166
#6
43.30.8
40.941.8
Auto16.7
Teleop5.0
End21.6
Third
190
#25
31.30.2
31.932.1
Auto14.9
Teleop2.6
End13.8
red by 2.6
2262
#13
28.70.8
26.427.2
Auto9.3
Teleop2.6
End16.8