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Red99
217047.9
6142.0
17320.5
Blue119
534717.5
15726.4
287731.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1327505010015020025099119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2170
#15
47.90.3
48.247.9
Auto15.0
Teleop14.1
End18.8
red by 16.1
2877
#17
31.80.7
31.231.9
Auto6.9
Teleop13.0
End11.9
Second
61
#2
42.00.3
42.242.0
Auto10.9
Teleop3.7
End27.4
red by 15.6
157
#11
26.40.7
25.826.5
Auto11.5
Teleop9.0
End5.9
Third
173
#24
20.50.3
20.820.5
Auto13.0
Teleop2.0
End5.5
red by 3.0
5347
#26
17.50.7
16.917.6
Auto9.9
Teleop4.1
End3.5