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Red109
115349.9
632853.8
355520.7
Blue122
206743.7
199132.3
206420.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14898050200250109122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.7
54.653.9
Auto18.7
Teleop19.1
End16.0
red by 10.1
43.70.6
42.943.5
Auto12.2
Teleop9.7
End21.9
Second
1153
#14
49.90.7
50.749.9
Auto16.2
Teleop11.3
End22.4
red by 17.6
32.30.6
31.532.1
Auto13.3
Teleop8.0
End11.0
Third
3555
#30
20.70.7
21.520.8
Auto11.2
Teleop3.0
End6.5
red by 0.2
2064
#18
20.50.6
19.720.4
Auto8.3
Teleop4.2
End8.0