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Red163
115349.9
632853.8
355520.7
Blue116
206743.7
199132.3
206420.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145101050200250163116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.2
53.954.0
Auto18.7
Teleop19.1
End16.0
red by 10.1
43.70.1
43.543.6
Auto12.2
Teleop9.7
End21.9
Second
1153
#14
49.90.2
49.950.1
Auto16.2
Teleop11.3
End22.4
red by 17.6
32.30.1
32.132.2
Auto13.3
Teleop8.0
End11.0
Third
3555
#30
20.70.2
20.821.0
Auto11.2
Teleop3.0
End6.5
red by 0.2
2064
#18
20.50.1
20.420.5
Auto8.3
Teleop4.2
End8.0