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Quarterfinal 3-12020 NE District Waterbury Event
Red136
356651.5
808543.7
776022.3
Blue122
283633.4
365435.2
314621.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1269650150200250136122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3566
#11
51.50.6
48.7→49.3
Auto20.4
Teleop15.9
End15.2
red by 16.3
3654
#9
35.20.3
35.0→35.3
Auto8.9
Teleop6.4
End20.0
Second
8085
#3
43.70.6
40.9→41.5
Auto11.1
Teleop8.4
End24.2
red by 10.3
2836
#14
33.40.3
33.2→33.5
Auto8.5
Teleop4.9
End20.0
Third
7760
#32
22.30.6
19.5→20.1
Auto8.1
Teleop3.8
End10.3
red by 0.7
3146
#29
21.60.3
21.4→21.7
Auto10.9
Teleop1.7
End9.0