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Red167
356651.5
808543.7
776022.3
Blue73
107139.0
455738.6
83935.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291298010012014016016773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3566
#11
51.51.1
50.952.0
Auto20.4
Teleop15.9
End15.2
red by 12.5
1071
#12
39.00.9
40.039.0
Auto14.7
Teleop5.4
End18.9
Second
43.71.1
43.044.2
Auto11.1
Teleop8.4
End24.2
red by 5.0
38.60.9
39.638.6
Auto15.9
Teleop5.6
End17.1
Third
7760
#32
22.31.1
21.622.8
Auto8.1
Teleop3.8
End10.3
blue by 12.7
839
#16
35.00.9
36.035.0
Auto14.1
Teleop12.3
End8.6