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Red139
740751.7
22845.6
23732.6
Blue137
23038.7
109925.2
71637.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148104050200250139137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.70.3
50.851.0
Auto17.5
Teleop28.7
End5.5
red by 13.1
230
#10
38.70.9
37.838.7
Auto18.0
Teleop8.7
End11.9
Second
228
#5
45.60.3
44.644.9
Auto14.3
Teleop11.5
End19.8
red by 8.5
716
#15
37.10.9
36.337.1
Auto12.5
Teleop12.5
End12.1
Third
237
#20
32.60.3
31.631.9
Auto12.4
Teleop13.1
End7.1
red by 7.4
25.20.9
24.325.2
Auto10.0
Teleop2.9
End12.3