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Semifinal 2-12020 NE District Waterbury Event
Red136
356651.5
808543.7
776022.3
Blue121
107139.0
455738.6
83935.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127130050100150200250300136121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3566
#11
51.50.5
50.4→50.9
Auto20.4
Teleop15.9
End15.2
red by 12.5
1071
#12
39.00.2
40.2→40.0
Auto14.7
Teleop5.4
End18.9
Second
8085
#3
43.70.5
42.6→43.0
Auto11.1
Teleop8.4
End24.2
red by 5.0
4557
#4
38.60.2
39.8→39.6
Auto15.9
Teleop5.6
End17.1
Third
7760
#32
22.30.5
21.2→21.6
Auto8.1
Teleop3.8
End10.3
blue by 12.7
839
#16
35.00.2
36.2→36.0
Auto14.1
Teleop12.3
End8.6