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Red155
491073.5
110252.9
358116.2
Blue69
451627.8
408017.6
563218.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16759010015020025030015569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.50.3
71.671.9
Auto23.2
Teleop25.2
End25.1
red by 45.7
4516
#17
27.80.1
28.628.4
Auto12.0
Teleop8.2
End7.7
Second
52.90.3
50.951.3
Auto16.9
Teleop11.7
End24.3
red by 34.8
5632
#15
18.00.1
18.818.7
Auto5.6
Teleop3.2
End9.2
Third
3581
#30
16.20.3
14.314.7
Auto7.0
Teleop2.6
End6.7
blue by 1.3
4080
#11
17.60.1
18.518.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End12.0