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Red194
491073.5
110252.9
358116.2
Blue118
744933.0
533236.5
747021.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1639650150200250194118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.51.1
72.173.2
Auto23.2
Teleop25.2
End25.1
red by 37.0
36.50.1
37.737.5
Auto12.9
Teleop4.1
End19.4
Second
52.91.1
51.452.6
Auto16.9
Teleop11.7
End24.3
red by 19.9
33.00.1
34.234.0
Auto8.8
Teleop5.9
End18.2
Third
3581
#30
16.21.1
14.815.9
Auto7.0
Teleop2.6
End6.7
blue by 5.0
7470
#26
21.30.2
22.622.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End11.1