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Red145
418852.0
691943.6
682914.9
Blue136
174644.7
418937.8
565126.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201216080100140160180200145136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.8
51.152.0
Auto18.9
Teleop10.0
End23.1
red by 7.3
44.70.3
44.444.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End16.3
Second
43.60.8
42.743.6
Auto12.4
Teleop7.9
End23.3
red by 5.7
37.80.3
37.637.8
Auto10.6
Teleop7.9
End19.3
Third
6829
#34
14.90.8
14.014.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End6.6
blue by 11.8
5651
#23
26.70.3
26.426.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.7
End8.5