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Red112
808341.0
710435.6
75389.6
Blue106
513218.2
334431.5
168322.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8971050100150200112106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.4
38.038.5
Auto12.1
Teleop5.9
End23.1
red by 9.5
3344
#10
31.50.9
29.230.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End20.8
Second
35.60.4
32.733.1
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End13.8
red by 13.0
1683
#30
22.60.9
20.421.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End10.6
Third
7538
#20
9.60.4
7.27.6
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End5.2
blue by 8.7
5132
#12
18.20.9
16.016.9
Auto7.1
Teleop1.6
End9.5