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Red110
808341.0
710435.6
742710.5
Blue146
174644.7
418937.8
565126.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90128050150200250110146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.5
40.441.0
Auto12.1
Teleop5.9
End23.1
blue by 3.7
44.70.3
45.044.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End16.3
Second
35.60.5
35.135.6
Auto12.6
Teleop9.2
End13.8
blue by 2.2
37.80.3
38.237.9
Auto10.6
Teleop7.9
End19.3
Third
7427
#18
10.50.5
10.010.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End6.5
blue by 16.1
5651
#23
26.70.3
27.026.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.7
End8.5