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Red134
174644.7
418937.8
565126.7
Blue48
572729.6
470119.5
83220.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1257205010015020025013448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.6
43.344.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End16.3
red by 15.0
5727
#11
29.60.6
30.229.6
Auto11.0
Teleop5.9
End12.7
Second
37.80.6
36.537.2
Auto10.6
Teleop7.9
End19.3
red by 17.7
832
#15
20.10.6
20.720.1
Auto11.1
Teleop0.6
End8.4
Third
5651
#23
26.70.6
25.426.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.7
End8.5
red by 7.2
19.50.6
20.119.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End10.7