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Red123
102453.3
745443.1
458022.1
Blue155
44732.8
174726.8
82925.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14178050100200123155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.3
53.252.9
Auto15.5
Teleop14.5
End23.3
red by 20.5
447
#17
32.81.4
30.331.7
Auto9.7
Teleop6.4
End16.7
Second
43.10.3
43.142.8
Auto10.4
Teleop6.3
End26.4
red by 16.3
26.81.4
24.325.7
Auto11.9
Teleop7.6
End7.3
Third
4580
#21
22.10.3
22.121.8
Auto8.5
Teleop4.0
End9.6
blue by 3.3
829
#30
25.41.4
22.924.3
Auto9.5
Teleop5.5
End10.4