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Red179
102453.3
745443.1
458022.1
Blue132
44732.8
174726.8
82925.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13984050100150200179132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.7
52.953.6
Auto15.5
Teleop14.5
End23.3
red by 20.5
447
#17
32.81.1
31.732.8
Auto9.7
Teleop6.4
End16.7
Second
43.10.7
42.843.5
Auto10.4
Teleop6.3
End26.4
red by 16.3
26.81.1
25.726.8
Auto11.9
Teleop7.6
End7.3
Third
4580
#21
22.10.7
21.822.5
Auto8.5
Teleop4.0
End9.6
blue by 3.3
829
#30
25.41.1
24.325.4
Auto9.5
Teleop5.5
End10.4