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Red167
172072.0
23448.3
765731.5
Blue112
427250.2
86829.1
314725.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173107050150200250300167112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.2
70.470.1
Auto20.4
Teleop25.0
End26.6
red by 21.8
4272
#15
50.20.1
50.150.2
Auto18.8
Teleop17.1
End14.3
Second
234
#1
48.30.2
46.746.5
Auto15.0
Teleop14.4
End18.9
red by 19.3
868
#5
29.10.1
29.029.1
Auto13.0
Teleop5.9
End10.1
Third
7657
#29
31.50.2
29.929.7
Auto14.1
Teleop3.1
End14.3
red by 6.2
3147
#16
25.30.1
25.225.3
Auto11.0
Teleop2.8
End11.5