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Red153
427250.2
86829.1
314725.3
Blue100
645124.6
649840.6
296029.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10310850150200153100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#15
50.21.3
46.247.5
Auto18.8
Teleop17.1
End14.3
red by 9.6
40.60.2
41.140.8
Auto14.6
Teleop15.2
End10.8
Second
868
#5
29.11.3
25.126.4
Auto13.0
Teleop5.9
End10.1
blue by 0.2
2960
#23
29.30.2
29.729.5
Auto15.4
Teleop7.5
End6.3
Third
3147
#16
25.31.3
21.322.6
Auto11.0
Teleop2.8
End11.5
red by 0.7
6451
#28
24.60.2
25.124.9
Auto12.8
Teleop5.6
End6.2