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Red180
150140.2
745764.1
355927.2
Blue142
102453.3
745443.1
458022.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14413250100200250180142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.10.4
62.763.1
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End25.0
red by 10.8
53.30.5
53.654.1
Auto15.5
Teleop14.5
End23.3
Second
40.20.4
38.939.3
Auto17.4
Teleop12.1
End10.7
blue by 2.9
43.10.5
43.544.0
Auto10.4
Teleop6.3
End26.4
Third
3559
#22
27.20.4
25.926.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.3
red by 5.1
4580
#21
22.10.5
22.523.0
Auto8.5
Teleop4.0
End9.6