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Red156
427250.2
86829.1
314725.3
Blue160
645124.6
649840.6
296029.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810650150200156160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#15
50.21.3
47.548.8
Auto18.8
Teleop17.1
End14.3
red by 9.6
40.60.2
40.840.6
Auto14.6
Teleop15.2
End10.8
Second
868
#5
29.11.3
26.427.7
Auto13.0
Teleop5.9
End10.1
blue by 0.2
2960
#23
29.30.2
29.529.3
Auto15.4
Teleop7.5
End6.3
Third
3147
#16
25.31.3
22.623.9
Auto11.0
Teleop2.8
End11.5
red by 0.7
6451
#28
24.60.2
24.924.6
Auto12.8
Teleop5.6
End6.2