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Red161
150140.2
745764.1
355927.2
Blue82
102453.3
745443.1
458022.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451345010020025016182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.10.6
63.163.7
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End25.0
red by 10.8
53.30.9
54.153.3
Auto15.5
Teleop14.5
End23.3
Second
40.20.6
39.339.8
Auto17.4
Teleop12.1
End10.7
blue by 2.9
43.10.9
44.043.1
Auto10.4
Teleop6.3
End26.4
Third
3559
#22
27.20.6
26.326.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.3
red by 5.1
4580
#21
22.10.9
23.022.1
Auto8.5
Teleop4.0
End9.6