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Red191
599044.3
209648.9
623013.6
Blue113
503824.6
717726.9
193721.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11778050100150200250191113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.90.0
46.846.8
Auto17.0
Teleop12.3
End19.6
red by 22.0
26.90.2
27.427.3
Auto12.5
Teleop5.2
End9.2
Second
44.30.0
42.142.1
Auto15.3
Teleop16.3
End12.6
red by 19.7
5038
#16
24.60.2
25.225.0
Auto8.3
Teleop3.1
End13.1
Third
6230
#25
13.60.0
11.211.2
Auto6.7
Teleop0.6
End6.3
blue by 8.1
1937
#15
21.60.2
22.222.0
Auto10.1
Teleop9.2
End2.4