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Red156
599044.3
209648.9
623013.6
Blue72
822319.8
223023.8
673615.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12557010015020025030015672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.90.6
47.948.4
Auto17.0
Teleop12.3
End19.6
red by 25.1
23.80.1
23.923.8
Auto9.8
Teleop8.9
End5.1
Second
44.30.6
43.243.8
Auto15.3
Teleop16.3
End12.6
red by 24.5
8223
#11
19.80.1
19.919.8
Auto12.4
Teleop2.8
End4.6
Third
6230
#25
13.60.6
12.413.0
Auto6.7
Teleop0.6
End6.3
blue by 1.7
6736
#27
15.30.1
15.415.3
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End10.6