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Red159
599044.3
209648.9
623013.6
Blue76
503824.6
717726.9
193721.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1177705010015020025030015976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.91.1
46.847.9
Auto17.0
Teleop12.3
End19.6
red by 22.0
26.90.4
27.326.9
Auto12.5
Teleop5.2
End9.2
Second
44.31.1
42.143.2
Auto15.3
Teleop16.3
End12.6
red by 19.7
5038
#16
24.60.4
25.024.6
Auto8.3
Teleop3.1
End13.1
Third
6230
#25
13.61.2
11.212.4
Auto6.7
Teleop0.6
End6.3
blue by 8.1
1937
#15
21.60.4
22.021.6
Auto10.1
Teleop9.2
End2.4