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Red72
458636.1
574719.8
707924.7
Blue75
822319.8
223023.8
673615.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965801502002507275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#12
36.10.2
36.436.2
Auto12.1
Teleop5.9
End18.0
red by 12.3
23.80.5
23.023.5
Auto9.8
Teleop8.9
End5.1
Second
7079
#21
24.70.2
25.124.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.2
End18.3
red by 4.9
8223
#11
19.80.5
19.019.5
Auto12.4
Teleop2.8
End4.6
Third
19.80.2
20.219.9
Auto5.9
Teleop4.6
End9.3
red by 4.5
6736
#27
15.30.5
14.515.0
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End10.6