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Red96
157429.6
157744.5
711222.9
Blue90
321128.7
555435.2
784521.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125930501502002503009690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.8
48.247.3
Auto16.3
Teleop5.9
End22.3
red by 9.3
35.20.4
35.835.4
Auto15.1
Teleop8.1
End12.0
Second
1574
#23
29.60.8
33.332.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End12.4
red by 1.0
3211
#13
28.70.4
29.328.9
Auto14.8
Teleop8.2
End5.7
Third
7112
#17
22.90.9
27.026.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End12.6
red by 1.5
7845
#19
21.40.4
22.021.6
Auto10.7
Teleop6.2
End4.6