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Red136
157429.6
157744.5
711222.9
Blue87
571527.5
221217.3
303419.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12256010015020025013687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.5
45.946.4
Auto16.3
Teleop5.9
End22.3
red by 17.0
5715
#14
27.50.7
25.326.0
Auto11.9
Teleop6.9
End8.7
Second
1574
#23
29.60.5
31.031.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End12.4
red by 9.7
3034
#22
19.90.7
17.718.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End10.4
Third
7112
#17
22.90.5
24.425.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End12.6
red by 5.6
17.30.7
15.115.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End6.7